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Monthly Update: 9/11/2025
Hello everyone, As you may have noticed, we have shifted from weekly to monthly updates for the Threat Index. We will publish more often...
PJLC
Sep 113 min read
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Weekly Update: 7/29/2025
Gerrymandering has been in the news this week, raising an important issue for understanding democratic decline. Consider the simplest...
PJLC
Jul 294 min read
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Recommended Reading: Sherrilyn’s Newsletter
https://sherrilyn.substack.com/ Sherrilyn Ifill is a civil rights lawyer, former president of the NAACP Legal Defense Fund, and now a law...
Sean Garcia-Leys
Jul 151 min read
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Militarism and Foreign Aggression Rubric Revised
We are making targeted adjustments to the Militarism and Foreign Aggression  rubric to improve clarity and consistency. Scoring Trump and...
PJLC
Jun 243 min read
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Has the U.S. Always Been Fascist?
Fascism can be selectively deployed against specific populations in specific places. The genocide of Native Americans and the institution...
PJLC
Apr 223 min read
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What is a Constitutional Crisis?
"It is a constitutional crisis when our constitution and our politics come apart." More particularly, a constitutional crisis is when...
PJLC
Apr 214 min read
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Is There a Brightline Distinction between Stage 3 and Stage 4?
In law, we talk about "brightline" rules. These are rules that are clear and easy to follow, unlike, for example, balancing tests where...
PJLC
Apr 213 min read
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Authoritarianism, Totalitarianism, Fascism, Dictatorship, Autocracy, Kleptocracy, Oligarchy, Broligarchy, ....
Authoritarianism, totalitarianism, fascism, dictatorship, autocracy, kleptocracy, oligarchy, broligarchy, this list goes on. These words...
PJLC
Apr 213 min read
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Recommended Reading: Adam Przeworski's Diary
https://adamprzeworski.substack.com/ Adam Przeworsky has been writing and publishing a daily diary since the second inauguration of...
Sean Garcia-Leys
Apr 212 min read
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What Has Happened, What Might Happen, and What Is Inevitable
One of the toughest challenges in scoring current political developments using our index is distinguishing between what has  happened,...
PJLC
Apr 213 min read
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